Eurovision Song Contest 2017
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Best in Eastern Europe in Eurovision 2017 Odds

Odds on Eurovision Song Contest 2017: Which country will be best in Eastern Europe?

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Eastern Europe always offers good songs for each edition of the Eurovision Song Contest and the contest which this year is going to be held at the International Exhibition Centre in Kiev has big chances to be won by one of the Eastern countries which would mean that the ESC will stay in this part of the Europe for a second consecutive year, a thing that didn’t happen since Ukraine hosted the competition in 2005 after the country won when Turkey hosted one year before.

Russian television station Channel One has announced that it will not broadcast the Eurovision Song Contest this year or take part in the competition because its contestant has been barred from host country Ukraine. The statement came after a dispute over whether Russia’s entrant Julia Samoylova would be allowed to attend the event in Kiev because she had toured in Crimea in 2015 after it was annexed by Russia. Frank Dieter Freiling, chairman of the Eurovision Song Contest Reference Group, the event’s steering committee, said: “We strongly condemn the Ukrainian authorities’ decision to impose a travel ban on Julia Samoylova as we believe it thoroughly undermines the integrity and non-political nature of the Eurovision Song Contest and its mission to bring all nations together in friendly competition.”

Possibly the only advantage of this withdrawn is for the other Eastern European countries. Russia used to receive lots of points from its ”geo-political friends”: Bulgaria, Belarus, Ukraine, the Baltic countries, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan. The fact that this country will not be present could increase the amount of points that the best entries out of the mentioned countries will receive.

According to wiwibroggs, Russia has received an average of 7.62 points from these countries each year since 2010, the highest for Sergey Lazarev last year in Stockholm, with an average of 11.1 points from these countries, and the lowest for Alexey Vorobyov in 2011 with an average of 5.3 points from these countries.

Of the total points given out from these eleven countries, 55% of all scores awarded to Russia have been above 8 points. The highest average came from Belarus with an average of 10.4 points awarded to Russia and the lowest came from Georgia with 5.1 points. We mustn’t forget that Russia and Georgia entered this decade whilst at war. But there is still a great deal of shared history and members of each nation’s diaspora living in the other.

Bulgaria, rated with big chances of winning with ”Beautiful Mess”, has even bigger chances after Russia’s exit. Belarus’ NAVIBAND is the other country in Semi-Final 2 likely to pick up Russia’s diaspora vote. Being one of Russia’s closest neighbours in terms of culture, lifestyle and language, Belarus’ entry “Historyja Mahjo Zyccia”, performed entirely in Belarusian, has a catchy and memorable chorus and a great place in the running order (fourteenth out of eighteen countries).

Despite performing in the first semi final this year, Dihaj from Azerbaijan could make big waves in the grand final. Combining votes from the former Soviet countries, as well as the Russian and Turkish diasporas in Europe (and those are big), things could work in Azerbaijan’s favour and make “Skeletons” climb toward the Gods.