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Finding Value Picks in Euro 2020 Betting Markets

The European Championships have always been unpredictable. Greece were 150/1 underdogs to win Euro 2004, but beat France, the Czech Republic and hosts Portugal – twice – on their way to a historic title.

The last Euros back in 2016 weren't quite as unpredictable as Portugal finally ended their long trophy drought and Cristiano Ronaldo finally got his hands on an international trophy. However, they were seen as dark horse rather than clear favourites going into the tournament.

In Euro 2020 this summer, the equivalents to Greece would be Scotland at 200/1, or perhaps Finland at 250/1. Punters looking for a high-risk, high-reward option like Greece could be interested in minnows North Macedonia, all the way back at 400/1 per the latest sports betting odds.

Even if you don’t fancy a punt on an outside shot, major tournaments always offer a chance to find value in certain niche markets.

Best Player: Phil Foden, 25/1

The best betting tips always look inevitable in hindsight. Wayne Rooney burst on to the scene at Euro 2004 at the age of 18, scoring four goals on his way to a place in the Team of the Tournament. That preceded a big-money move to Manchester United that autumn.

The stars could be similarly aligned for Phil Foden this summer. 21 years old by the start of the Euros, the Stockport Iniesta started the season as a rotational piece in Pep Guardiola’s system and ends it a vital component of a title-winning side.

If Foden starts behind Harry Kane, as pundits are suggesting he must, he will have the chance to replicate his electrifying performances on an even bigger stage. In the process, he could be the spark behind an England side suddenly favourites to win its first major tournament since 1966.

To Reach the Quarter Finals: Wales, 7/2

Wales were the story of Euro 2016, reaching the semi-finals with a stunning upset of Belgium in the last eight. That Welsh side saw Aaron Ramsey and Joe Allen make the Team of the Tournament, while goal-scoring talisman Gareth Bale returns to the fold after rejuvenating his career at Tottenham in the second half of the Premier League season.

Euro 2020 has continued the 24-team system from 2016, in which only eight teams will be eliminated after the group stage. With four third-placed finishers making the Round of 16 knockouts, Wales are decent value to make the quarter-finals once again this time around.

Robert Page’s Welsh side are in Group A with Italy, Turkey and Switzerland, a robust group full of European experience but all potentially beatable on their day. Wales play twice at the Olympic Stadium in Baku, Azerbaijan, and face Italy at Stadio Olympico in Rome in their final group game.

Winner / Top Goalscorer Double: Belgium / Romelu Lukaku, 25/1

Second favourites to win the tournament at 11/2, Roberto Martínez’s Belgium side are stacked full of Premier League quality. The ‘Golden Generation’ followed up that Euro 2016 disappointment with a third-place finish at the 2018 World Cup in Russia, where eventual winners France were too hot to handle at the semi-final stage.

Romelu Lukaku sits second behind only Cristiano Ronaldo in the top scorers in Serie A. The target man has been instrumental in helping Inter Milan to a first Scudetto since 2010, sparking rumours of a big-money move back to the Premier League where he started his career. With Lukaku in his prime and being fed by the likes of Kevin de Bruyne, Eden Hazard and Dries Mertens, this could be the year Belgium’s superstars finally live up to their massive potential.